Superforecasting

Why it’s on the list: Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner on what the best forecasters do differently, drawn from Tetlock’s forecasting research — the book Range names and quotes directly in its section on forecasting.

Where I heard about it

• On Investing Book List (Gavin Baker), Gavin Baker’s May 2020 investing book list (under Strategy, Forecasting, Competitive Advantage and Technology, one of his italicized favorites).

• Spotted at Amazon Books at Washington Square, Tigard — December 2018 (Books photo album)

• David Epstein — cited in Range.

• An Amazon link — saved again to my reading list as a bare Amazon link.

• Replies to @SpencrGreenberg — named in the replies to his question “What non-fiction book taught you the most about how the world (or how humanity or society) really works?”, June 2025. Full list: A question for you — What non-fiction… (tweet).

• On Patrick Collison’s Bookshelf — Patrick Collison’s catalog of the physical books he owns (unflagged). Saved in Kyle’s April 19th, 2020 Roam daily note.

Connections

• Range — where this book is cited.
• Forecasting · Prediction — the subject.
• A question for you — What non-fiction… (tweet) — recommendation #3: named in this crowd-sourced thread.