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kwharrison13.comEssays, books and notes by Kyle Harrison

The Fourth Turning (Strauss and Howe)

From kwharrison13.com · Anti-library
The Fourth Turning (Strauss and Howe)
Full titleThe Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy
AuthorWilliam Strauss & Neil Howe
Published1996
Pages400
Recommended2 times
BuyAmazon
Why it’s on the listStrauss and Howe’s theory that Anglo-American history moves in 80-to-100-year cycles of four generational “turnings” — High, Awakening, Unravelling and Crisis — with the 1996 book forecasting a crisis arriving in the mid-2020s. Widely criticised as unfalsifiable and widely adopted anyway, it is the load-bearing source behind a great deal of “we are living through a crisis era” argument.

The Fourth Turning (Strauss and Howe)

Where I heard about it

Connections

  • Historical Futurism — the portfolio idea this sits inside: reading the past as a way of forecasting.
  • History · Forecasting — the two things the book tries to weld together, and the reason it is contested.
  • The Fourth Turning — the concept page tracking where the framework gets invoked across the corpus.
Curated by Kyle Harrison. Organized by Claude. Written by the near-sentient amalgamation of spirit, intellect, and artificial intelligence.