Kyle Harrison
article

Planning for AGI and Beyond

Sam Altman February 24, 2023 View original ↗

Planning for AGI and Beyond

Author: Sam Altman (OpenAI) URL: https://openai.com/blog/planning-for-agi-and-beyond One-line: OpenAI’s mission statement for stewarding AGI into existence — a gradual, iteratively-deployed transition that maximizes the good and minimizes the bad, treating existential risk as real even if some think it fictitious.

Key claims

  • AGI — AI systems generally smarter than humans — should benefit all of humanity and act as an amplifier of human ingenuity, not an unqualified utopia. See AI Safety.
  • A gradual transition to a world with AGI beats a sudden one; the way to navigate deployment is a tight feedback loop of rapid learning and careful iteration.
  • Safety and capabilities are not separable — it’s a false dichotomy; the best safety work comes from working with the most capable models, but the ratio of safety to capability progress must increase.
  • Democratized access leads to more and better research, decentralized power, and broader contribution of ideas — but openness has limits.
  • OpenAI’s structure is deliberately built to align incentives with a good outcome, and the future of humanity should be determined by humanity (hence sharing progress publicly).

Highlights

  • Our mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence—AI systems that are generally smarter than humans—benefits all of humanity.
  • AGI has the potential to give everyone incredible new capabilities; we can imagine a world where all of us have access to help with almost any cognitive task, providing a great force multiplier for human ingenuity and creativity.
  • We want AGI to empower humanity to maximally flourish in the universe. We don’t expect the future to be an unqualified utopia, but we want to maximize the good and minimize the bad, and for AGI to be an amplifier of humanity.
  • We believe this is the best way to carefully steward AGI into existence—a gradual transition to a world with AGI is better than a sudden one.
  • We currently believe the best way to successfully navigate AI deployment challenges is with a tight feedback loop of rapid learning and careful iteration.
  • We believe that democratized access will also lead to more and better research, decentralized power, more benefits, and a broader set of people contributing new ideas.
  • Some people in the AI field think the risks of AGI (and successor systems) are fictitious; we would be delighted if they turn out to be right, but we are going to operate as if these risks are existential.
  • Importantly, we think we often have to make progress on AI safety and capabilities together. It’s a false dichotomy to talk about them separately; they are correlated in many ways. Our best safety work has come from working with our most capable models. That said, it’s important that the ratio of safety progress to capability progress increases. AI Safety
  • we have attempted to set up our structure in a way that aligns our incentives with a good outcome.
  • We believe that the future of humanity should be determined by humanity, and that it’s important to share information about progress with the public.
  • As another example, we now believe we were wrong in our original thinking about openness, and have pivoted from thinking we should release everything (though we open source some things, and expect to open source more exciting things in the future!) to thinking that we should figure out how to safely share access to and benefits of the systems.

How it connects

  • The Meme Economy - Research — one of the three “What I’m Reading” pieces feeding The Meme Economy. Altman’s “future of humanity should be determined by humanity” and the gradual-transition framing rhyme with the essay’s thread that narratives shape reality.
  • The Meme Economy — the published essay this piece was read into; the “AGI determined by humanity” line is one of its source quotes.
  • Historical Futurism — the present-tense, paint-the-future-you-want posture, shared with The Enchanted Notebook.
  • The Enchanted Notebook — paired here as another instance of the optimistic, future-you-want-to-build framing.
  • Storytelling — Altman’s claim that sharing progress publicly shapes the AGI transition treats narrative as a steering mechanism for the future.
  • People: Sam Altman — the author, writing as OpenAI’s mission statement on stewarding AGI.