Judgment Under Uncertainty

The 1982 edited volume that collected the heuristics-and-biases programme — representativeness, availability, anchoring, base-rate neglect — in the researchers’ own papers.

Why it’s on the list: Named in the “how the world really works” thread. The primary literature behind Thinking, Fast and Slow, which is the version most people have read instead.

Where I saw it: In Kyle’s “Books To Read” Apple Note, recovered from the reply thread to @SpencrGreenberg asking “What non-fiction book taught you the most about how the world (or how humanity or society) really works?” (June 5, 2025). The full recovered list lives on A question for you — What non-fiction… (tweet).

Connections

• A question for you — What non-fiction… (tweet) — the thread this came out of; the full recovered list lives there.
• Daniel Kahneman · Amos Tversky — the authors.
• Thinking, Fast and Slow — the popular account built on this work.
• Behavioral Economics — the field this founded.