Skip to content
kwharrison13.comEssays, books and notes by Kyle Harrison

End Times

From kwharrison13.com · Anti-library
End Times
Full titleEnd Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
AuthorPeter Turchin
Published2023
RecommendedOnce
BuyAmazon
Why it’s on the listPeter Turchin’s cliodynamics applied to the present: elite overproduction, stagnating popular wellbeing and a state losing fiscal capacity as the three measurable drivers of political disintegration. A quantitative, falsifiable model of instability, which is rarer than the pattern-matching it is often lumped with.

Where I heard about it

  • @SpencrGreenberg’s thread — named in the replies to his question “What non-fiction book taught you the most about how the world really works?”, June 2025. Full set of replies: A question for you — What non-fiction… (tweet).

Connections

  • A question for you — What non-fiction… (tweet) — the thread this came out of; the full recovered list lives there.
  • Peter Turchin — the author.
  • Institutions — what the model says is failing.
Curated by Kyle Harrison. Organized by Claude. Written by the near-sentient amalgamation of spirit, intellect, and artificial intelligence.