Kyle Harrison
concept

California Diaspora

California Diaspora

The outflow of residents from California — part of a broader pattern of movement from high cost-of-living to low cost-of-living places.

Key observations

(From a tweet thread by Priya Rose, April 25, 2020, tagged #Prosperable — archived at The Californian Diaspora… (tweet))

  • The California Diaspora is part of a larger diaspora from high-COL to low-COL places.
  • A notable side effect: blue-state residents are moving to red states, turning them into swing states.
  • Probable drivers of the asymmetry: highly educated people move to California while young, lower-income people leave; other states have lower incomes relative to California, so the broader U.S. population can’t afford to move there.

Connections

  • City Building — housing costs and city affordability are a central driver of diaspora flows.
  • Migration — the broader concept of population movement tied to economic opportunity.
  • The Californian Diaspora… (tweet) — the source tweet, archived verbatim with the five article screenshots Kyle saved alongside it.

Evidence Kyle saved with the capture

Article excerpt: Californians accounted for nearly 60 percent of Idaho's net migration (Jul 2017–Jul 2018); six of the seven fastest-growing states are in the West and California is the largest source of new residents in all six

Article excerpt: of the 20 million Americans alive today born in New York, nearly one in six now live in the South (one in 25 fifty years ago)

Article excerpt: since 2000 the blue-born population in red states has grown by almost a quarter to 11.5 million; North Carolina +41%, Georgia +30%, South Carolina +39%, Utah +34%, Idaho +30%

Chart (Public Policy Institute of California, net interstate migration 2012–17): California gains college graduates while losing less educated adults

Table (IRS migration data 2015–16): CA departures are younger and working class — heaviest outflow among under-35 households earning $10k–$50k

Archived tweets

  • The Californian Diaspora… (tweet)